Regardless of the level of the actual health risk, the perception of the outbreak is evident and will have an impact on all markets.
Hotel/travel: Travel-based businesses were already facing an uphill struggle in 2020. With major events of all kinds being shut down and corporate traveling falling off, the hotel industry will be hit hard. Tourist destinations will suffer as local economies that rely on tourism will dry up quickly. Delta airlines announced it will cut passenger capacity by 40% to absorb the drop in travel demand. It is the largest cut in the airlines history, even surpassing the reductions made after 9/11. Click here for more information
Retail: Some retailers, like Apple, Nike, and Urban Outfitters are closing all stores until the end of the month and will reevaluate then. Moves like this recognize not only safety for their staff and customers, but also the cautious spending that consumers will no doubt exhibit until the worst has clearly passed. Click here for more information
Manufacturing: Global supply chains and operations around the world are being affected, with companies sourcing primarily from China at the highest risk. Click here for more information
Office: Overall unemployment could tick up by about 1.5% in 2020 and clients could put the brakes on new projects while financing may become tight for new initiatives until the all-clear is given.
Infrastructure: According to a number of engineering firms we spoke with, infrastructure projects are still ongoing. As agencies adjust their own staff to virus policies, work will proceed. No one is making any promises.
Healthcare and higher education: Typically stalwarts in a down economy, these markets will continue to provide opportunity for the A/E industry, but according to several firm leaders we spoke with in the last 24 hours, with schools and colleges shutting down and some hospitals shutting down construction inside facilities, a slowdown is likely, at least in the short-term. It is also possible that remote learning will accelerate after this crisis and brick-and-mortar investments may come increasingly into question.