NERC Reports Electricity Reliability Adequate This Winter


North America’s electricity generating capacity, transmission systems and generation fuels should be adequate this winter, says Rick Sergel, president and CEO of the North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC).

Sergel’s announcement was made in conjunction with the release of NERC’s 2006/2007 Winter Assessment. Generating capacity margins have not changed significantly since last winter, according to Sergel, with winter 2006/2007 margins judged to be adequate across North America. Transmission reinforcements in southwestern Connecticut and Boston also will result in significant improvements to reliability in these areas, which NERC had previously placed on its reliability “Watch List.” Coal deliveries from the Powder River Basin, which were cited as an issue in NERC’s 2006 Long-Term Reliability Assessment, have improved significantly and coal stocks are increasing.

Peak demands for this winter are forecast to be higher than actual peaks recorded last winter in all areas except New England, Texas, the Southwest and parts of Missouri. In New England, electricity price increases in 2005 and 2006 were the biggest factors in the lower peak demand forecast for this winter. Colder-than-normal weather last winter in the other areas is the primary reason this winter’s forecasts are lower than last year’s actual demands.

Transmission systems will be adequate for reliability purposes, but some constraints may reoccur that may limit desired market transactions. The TVA transmission system and critical flowgates in the ReliabilityFirst region have experienced large and volatile power flows in recent years due to large power transfers across and through these systems. If such flows occur again this winter, operators may be required to limit power exchanges to maintain system reliability.

Because home heating use places higher demands on winter natural gas supplies and the gas transportation system, the availability of natural gas for electricity generation is always a greater concern during the winter than during the summer, said Sergel. Texas has the highest dependence on natural gas for electricity generation (70%), with about one-fourth of gas-fueled capacity possessing the ability to switch to oil for limited periods if natural gas supply is interrupted or unavailable. New England and Florida, which also have a high dependence on natural gas, have taken steps to avoid problems by coordinating more closely with natural gas pipeline operators. New England has also converted about 1,700 MW of natural gas-only capacity to dual-fuel capability since last winter.

Product of the Year
Consulting-Specifying Engineer's Product of the Year (POY) contest is the premier award for new products in the HVAC, fire, electrical, and...
40 Under Forty: Get Recognized
Consulting-Specifying Engineer magazine is dedicated to encouraging and recognizing the most talented young individuals...
MEP Giants Program
The MEP Giants program lists the top mechanical, electrical, plumbing, and fire protection engineering firms in the United States.
October 2018
Approaches to building engineering, 2018 Commissioning Giants, integrated project delivery, improving construction efficiency, an IPD primer, collaborative projects, NFPA 13 sprinkler systems.
September 2018
Power boiler control, Product of the Year, power generation,and integration and interoperability
August 2018
MEP Giants, lighting designs, circuit protection, ventilation systems, and more
Data Centers: Impacts of Climate and Cooling Technology
This course focuses on climate analysis, appropriateness of cooling system selection, and combining cooling systems.
Safety First: Arc Flash 101
This course will help identify and reveal electrical hazards and identify the solutions to implementing and maintaining a safe work environment.
Critical Power: Hospital Electrical Systems
This course explains how maintaining power and communication systems through emergency power-generation systems is critical.
Data Center Design
Data centers, data closets, edge and cloud computing, co-location facilities, and similar topics are among the fastest-changing in the industry.
click me